Eli Steps Up, Giants Win Key Game

Eli Manning doesn't play for the Mets. And the New York Football Giants don't play baseball.


Huge win today for Eli and my Giants though, as they top the Bears to show they're not totally imploding, again. 21-16 after 14 unanswered in the 4th quarter, key defensive stand to preserve the victory...this one kind of followed the same arc as that season-changing win over the Redskins earlier in the year. Eli didn't rebound so well in the first half from last week's debacle - he was terrible, actually, with a fumble and two interceptions, one in the end zone - but came on strong in that 4th quarter, tossing a TD and leading the go-ahead drive, all in the last 8 or so minutes of the game.

It almost seems like you can reduce an Eli Manning season to a simple breakdown of three different types of performances:

• There's the total stinker, which he's usually good for about 2 or 3 of. Last week falls into this category, along with the 2005 game against the Vikings where he also threw 4 picks. The December performance against Philly last year, where at the end of an already rough game, on a critical drive in the 4th quarter he threw one of his signature gets-blindsided-and-tosses-up-a-pathetic-floater-of-a-pass interceptions, watched it get returned for an Eagles touchdown, then followed it up with the dopiest of dopey Eli faces, falls into this category. Watch out, because one of these games might just come in the Wild Card playoff at home against the Carolina Panthers - and no we can't let that one go yet, actually, because even when young Eli plays well he still looks like at any moment he could turn into the quarterback that completely embarrassed himself and the Giants franchise on that cool January day. These games, obviously, are extremely frustrating - often unwatchable, actually - but can sometimes be offset by

• The really really good performance, in complete contrast to the total stinker, where he looks like, you know, the genuinely elite NFL quarterback #1 draft picks are supposed to turn into. He takes control of a game, looks a little like Peyton, and throws four touchdowns. The Dallas game on opening night this year would fall into this category, in addition to the Atlanta game in October on Monday night. 1 to 3 of these games each season give Giants fans hope that their team didn't totally screw them in the '04 draft, but more often than not Eli Manning just looks like
  

• Ordinary Eli. He'll be so-so, probably won't win or lose you the game, but might have a chance to win it for you with a 4th quarter surge. He can also totally suck for three quarters before the 4th quarter surge comes around, which bumps his performance up from total stinker to ordinary Eli - see today's game. He seems to have a knack for these random 4th quarter surges, which is certainly a quality you look for in your quarterback, but at the same it's never something you can count on. Often times the way he looks on the field is indistinguishable during these games from the way he looks during the total stinker, but the results are somehow different. The Denver game that he won on that lucky pass to Toomer a couple years back falls into this category. So does the one in Seattle later in the same season where he threw the tying score and set up the game-winning field goal three times but Jay Feely had some trouble ridding his throat of whatever it was he kept choking on. On the losing end, we saw ordinary Eli during the second Dallas game this year, the Dallas loss last year, and the wild-card playoff loss against Philly last year. You can never really predict how a Giants game will turn out during an ordinary Eli performance, as it will almost always depend on how the other parts of the team either prop Eli up or bring him down. One way or the other it never seems to look like he's totally in his element during those sudden 4th quarter bursts, and if he succeeds it's usually on some sort of lucky break, like the Toomer catch two years ago.
  

And there you have it. The Eli Ratio, taken in the same order as the list of common Eli performances (total stinker:really really good game:ordinary Eli) I just generated, has in Eli's brief career hovered around 2:3:11 or so over the course of a season. It's a crapshoot as to how the playoffs will pan out, but you can count on Eli probably being good enough for a decent team around him to win 10 games year in and year out, last year notwithstanding. You figure if the ratio ever moves to about 2:5:9 or even 2:4:10 the Giants might be able to beat the reinvigorated Dallas Cowboys. 1:5:10 or even 1:4:11 could conceivably get them through to an NFC championship game, but until the middle number increases significantly and the first number goes away all together it will be hard to predict with confidence how Eli will be able to carry his regular season numbers into the playoffs and respond to January football. Thus we can't really get a read on when, if ever, Eli Manning is ready to lead the Giants to a Super Bowl. We'll just have to wait and see.

Eli Manning has to become Phil Simms before he can even think about becoming Peyton

It's always interesting to look at Eli, though, because his arrival has kind of coincided with the emergence of Wright/Reyes, and the resurgence of the Mets. Fortunes have kind of coincided as well - Eli, and by association the Giants, have showed enough promise, but crapped out in crunch time in each of the last two seasons. Just like the Mets! Jose Reyes played the baseball version of Eli Manning down the stretch this season.

Wright and Reyes are different players though, as Wright contends for MVP awards and Jose's given us at least some evidence to suggest that September '07 was an unfortunate fluke. With Eli, you're just not sure if he's ever going to make it over that hump. It could really go either way.

I cheer for Eli, but in just about anything except football I think I'd take Wright or Reyes just about any day, across the board. Eli looks like kind of a sissy, so I'd rather let either one of Wright/Reyes have my back in a fight. Eli doesn't really look like he has much game, so I'd probably prefer to go out with Wright or Reyes. You can tell D Wright has that corny-white-boy-turned-Cliff Floyd's-bachelor-prodigy thing working for him - kind of like Sinbad and the President's son in "First Kid" - and Jose's skills in that realm seem to speak for themselves. But Eli? The McLovin of the Giants, maybe...


I guess things did turn out well for Fogell in the end. I'm sure Eli does just fine for himself. If he's half as adept at using bad pick-up lines to talk to girls as he is at using trite cliches to talk to the media, do you have a map? I just keep getting lost in your eyes... probably works out a decent amount of the time for him.

And that's not to say I wouldn't party with Eli Manning, if given the chance.

Eli Manning walks into a crowded kitchen at Amani Toomer's house party. He slides in between Brandon Jacobs and Plaxico Burress, who look annoyed and suck their teeth as Eli passes and moves for the cooler. "Who wants to watch the E-Mann take a funnel..."

But I digress. Ordinary Eli helped the Giants pull out a very important win today. We're 8-4, and back in control of the NFC wild card playoff picture.

And we'll wait with bated breath to see which Eli shows up next week in a key divisional game at Philly. Be rootin' for ya, kiddo...

Eli Bounces Back, Lifts Giants Past Bears (msnbc.com)

(Pics courtesy msnbc.com, louisvillesports.org, rwdmag.com)